Aggregate performance (demo)
TOTAL P&L
+$142.38
HIT RATE
62%
AVG EDGE
4.2%
BRIER
0.18
Live opportunities (demo)
| Market | Side | Prob | Price | Edge | Vol | Bid | Rationale | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVDA report > $45B revenue Q1 2026? BUSINESS LONG ANOMALY | YES | 72% | $0.61 | +11.0% | $5.1m | 2,410 | AI datacenter backlog extended to 9 months; hyperscaler capex guidance raised. | |
| Will Fed cut rates before June 2026 FOMC? BUSINESS LONG | NO | 63% | $0.58 | +5.0% | $3.2m | 1,920 | Core CPI sticky at 3.1%; Fed governors signalling patience in recent speeches. | |
| Will TSLA deliver > 500k vehicles in Q2 2026? BUSINESS LONG | YES | 51% | $0.44 | +7.0% | $420.0k | 340 | Shanghai line ramp complete; Cybertruck volume finally normalising. |
Open positions (demo)
| Market | Side | Size | Entry | Current | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BTC close above $100k on 2026-05-01? | YES | $120.00 | $0.58 | $0.62 | +$8.28 |
| Will NVDA report > $45B revenue Q1 2026? | YES | $200.00 | $0.55 | $0.61 | +$21.82 |
| Will Fed cut rates before June 2026 FOMC? | NO | $80.00 | $0.62 | $0.58 | $-5.16 |
| Will Trump win the 2026 midterm endorsement race? | YES | $150.00 | $0.66 | $0.70 | +$9.09 |
Recently closed trades (demo)
| Closed | Market | Side | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Will BTC print new ATH in March? | YES | win | +$32.15 |
| 2026-04-08 | Will ECB cut 25bps in April? | YES | win | +$18.50 |
| 2026-04-07 | Will AAPL beat earnings whisper? | NO | loss | $-12.80 |
| 2026-04-06 | Will Trump tariff H1 2026? | YES | win | +$41.00 |
| 2026-04-05 | Will SOL flip ETH market cap? | NO | loss | $-9.65 |
| 2026-04-04 | Will SPX close above 5600 by EOM? | YES | win | +$24.40 |
Moodix sentiment feed (demo)
-
BTC
BlackRock IBIT sees record 11-day inflow streak
+0.823m ago -
NVDA
Jensen Huang: datacenter demand "unprecedented"
+0.767m ago -
ETH
Validator queue exit hits 6-week high
-0.3412m ago -
SOL
Jupiter Exchange daily volume tops $2.1B
+0.6818m ago -
AAPL
Apple AI server orders doubled per Foxconn leak
+0.5524m ago -
TSLA
Cybertruck Q1 deliveries beat consensus by 4%
+0.1231m ago -
DOGE
Musk tweets taper off; retail engagement drops
-0.4145m ago -
SPX
S&P 500 closes at all-time high despite yield uptick
+0.231h ago -
GOOG
Gemini 2.5 benchmark tops MMLU leaderboard
+0.482h ago -
MSFT
Azure AI Foundry GA announcement teases Ignite
+0.393h ago
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